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Nomination deadline for The Technical Analyst Awards is 30 January 2015.

Latest Research and Commentary

Stock-Market-Screen-blue

Cable break above 1.57 will confirm low

GBPUSD needs to break back above 1.57 in order to confirm the yearly low of around 1.50, according to Chris Williams at Newedge SocGen. This coincides with the lowest reading for the RSI since 2010 suggesting the market is oversold and due for a reversal.
OilDown

Why Wall St. can’t forecast oil prices

Walter Zimmermann at United-ICAP explains why Wall Street analysts have had such a poor track record in forecasting crude oil prices. He gives 5 reasons why the recent decline in prices was not anticipated by analysts.
GBPEUR

GBPEUR set to target 1.40 to 1.50

GBPEUR is set to target the 1.40-1.50 region, says Riccardo Ronco at Aviate Global. Prices are breaking multi-year highs with a monthly MACD at its highest level since 2001 coming after the break of the 2000 resistance trend in January.
rally

STOXX600 breakout supports bullish US outlook

The upside breakout of the Europe STOXX 600 from long-term resistance bodes well for a continued rally of the S&P500 above 2000 due to the close correlation between the two indices, says Ari Wald at Oppenheimer. The STOXX600 has also broken significantly above its 200-day moving average in reaching new multi-year highs.
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Equities

What happened to the equity bear market?

Martin-Pring
Based on a 15-20 year equity bull/bear cycle, US stocks will remain subdued until 2018, says Martin Pring of Pring Turner Capital Group. This follows from the 2000 peak in stocks and includes the recent new market highs, something not uncommon within a secular bear market.

STOXX600 breakout supports bullish US outlook

rally
The upside breakout of the Europe STOXX 600 from long-term resistance bodes well for a continued rally of the S&P500 above 2000 due to the close correlation between the two indices, says Ari Wald at Oppenheimer. The STOXX600 has also broken significantly above its 200-day moving average in reaching new multi-year highs.

Fixed Income

Strategies and Techniques

Momentum profitable despite crash risk

Articles
Stock market data going back to 1876 shows that momentum remains a profitable strategy and that momentum market crashes are to some extent predictable, says research headed by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

FX

Cable break above 1.57 will confirm low

Stock-Market-Screen-blue
GBPUSD needs to break back above 1.57 in order to confirm the yearly low of around 1.50, according to Chris Williams at Newedge SocGen. This coincides with the lowest reading for the RSI since 2010 suggesting the market is oversold and due for a reversal.

GBPEUR set to target 1.40 to 1.50

GBPEUR
GBPEUR is set to target the 1.40-1.50 region, says Riccardo Ronco at Aviate Global. Prices are breaking multi-year highs with a monthly MACD at its highest level since 2001 coming after the break of the 2000 resistance trend in January.

Commodities & Energy

Why Wall St. can’t forecast oil prices

OilDown
Walter Zimmermann at United-ICAP explains why Wall Street analysts have had such a poor track record in forecasting crude oil prices. He gives 5 reasons why the recent decline in prices was not anticipated by analysts.

Software & Technology

TRADING CENTRAL buys Recognia

Recognia4
Independent research house TRADING CENTRAL has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Recognia Inc., a global leader in the development of pattern recognition software.